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Increase in Global Public Debt by 2030

  • 19 Oct 2024
  • 2 min read

Source: TH

According to the latest report of the International Monetary Fund (IMF) on fiscal policy, global public debt is expected to reach a record USD 100 trillion. 

  • Key Highlights of the Report: 
    • Global public debt is expected to reach 93% of global GDP in 2024, and to approach 100% by 2030.  
    • The IMF introduced a "debt-at-risk" method to better assess uncertainties in debt projections, estimating that global public debt could surge to 115% of GDP by 2026 in a worst-case scenario. 
    • Fluctuations in government borrowing costs are increasingly driven by global factors.  
      • Implying that high debt levels in major countries could raise the volatility of sovereign yields and debt risks in other countries. 
  • Recommendation: 
    • Countries should use the current period of lower inflation and interest rate cuts to strengthen their financial reserves. 
    • Countries need to implement fiscal adjustments between 3.0% and 4.5% of GDP to bring global public debt under control. 
  • IMF came into formal existence in December 1945. It was set up along with the World Bank after World War II to assist in the reconstruction of war-ravaged countries. 
    • IMF and WB agreed to be set up at a conference in Bretton Woods in the US. Hence, they are known as the Bretton Woods twins. 
  • Its primary purpose is to ensure the stability of the international monetary system. 
  • Major reports of the IMF: Global Financial Stability Report and World Economic Outlook.

Read More: Financial Stability Report, June 2024

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