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Palaeo Proxies

  • 04 Aug 2023
  • 3 min read

Source: TH

Why in News?

Recently, it was proclaimed that a particular day in July 2023 as the Warmest in over 100,000 Years is scientifically unfounded.

  • This claim is based on temperature estimates from before the invention of thermometers, which rely on "Palaeo Proxies" that cannot provide daily timescale temperatures.

What are Palaeo Proxies?

  • About:
    • Palaeo proxies, short for paleoclimate proxies or paleoenvironmental proxies, are indicators or records used by scientists to reconstruct past climate and environmental conditions.
    • These proxies are typically derived from physical, biological, or chemical processes that respond to changes in temperature or other climatic factors.
    • Since direct measurements of climate from the distant past are not possible, scientists rely on these proxy records to understand past climate variations and long-term trends.
  • Examples:
    • Ice Cores: Ice cores drilled from glaciers and polar ice sheets contain trapped air bubbles and isotopic compositions that provide information about past atmospheric conditions, including temperature and Greenhouse Gas concentrations.
    • Tree Rings: The width, density, and isotopic composition of tree rings can reveal past climate variations and growth conditions of trees, serving as a valuable proxy for temperature and precipitation changes.
    • Coral Records: The growth patterns and Isotopic Compositions of corals offer information about past sea surface temperatures and ocean conditions.
    • Pollen Records: The presence and abundance of specific pollen types preserved in sediment cores can indicate past vegetation and climate changes.
  • Limitations:
    • A major assumption required to make the “paleo proxy” technique workable is that the processes that produced the proxies have operated similarly back then as they do today.
    • However, proxies buried in ocean and lake sediments can only record temperature anomalies on timescales of centuries or thousands of years, making daily temperature estimations impossible.
    • Temperature proxies provide only local or regional estimates of historical temperature anomalies with significant uncertainties.
    • Global estimates based on averaging all local proxies have even higher uncertainties, making claims about daily temperatures at a global scale unreliable.

What are the other Methods to Estimate Temperature over longer Timescales?

  • Some isotopes with known radioactive decay rates can provide estimates of temperature changes over longer timescales like Holocene Epoch.
    • The Holocene Epoch is a geological times scale that began approximately 11,650 years ago and continues to the present day. It is the current and most recent epoch within the Quaternary Period.
  • Carbon or lead isotopes with half-lives ranging from 5,000 to over 10 million years can be used to estimate past temperatures.
  • Nonetheless, these methods are also limited to longer timescales and cannot provide daily temperature data.
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