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India’s Trade Dynamics

  • 19 Apr 2025
  • 6 min read

Source: IE 

Why in News?        

India’s Exports to the US hit a record USD 86.51 billion, boosted by front-loading shipments amid tariff fears, while Imports from China surged to USD 113.45 billion, signaling growing reliance on China and shifting global trade dynamics. 

What are the Key Factors Driving India’s Trade Performance? 

  • Front-Loading Strategy: The sharp increase in exports can largely be attributed to exporters rushing to dispatch shipments ahead of the anticipated reciprocal tariff hikes that came into effect in April. 
  • Demand and Market Penetration: India's export share in key markets such as the US and the UK rose by 13.73% and 14.31%, respectively, indicating stronger demand and improved market penetration.  
  • Sectoral Rise in Export: A major contributor to this growth was the electronics sector, which saw a 32% rise in exports driven primarily by booming smartphone shipments taking the total to USD 38 billion. 
    • Coffee exports surged by 40% to reach $1.8 billion. This sharp rise was supported by global supply disruptions caused by drought and high temperatures in Brazil, one of the world’s top coffee producers. 
  • Services Exports: It grew by 12.45%, reaching USD 383.51 billion during FY25. With services imports standing at USD 195.95 billion, India maintained a healthy surplus in its services trade. 

India’s Trade Scenario: 

  • Total Export: Reached USD 820 billion in FY 2024-25, an increase of 5.5–6% over FY 2023-24. 
    • Merchandise exports are estimated at USD 395.63 billion for April–February 2025, with full-year projections around USD 438 billion. 
  • Total Imports: Estimated at USD 915 billion for FY 2024-25, up 6.9% from USD 675.44 billion (merchandise) in FY 2023-24, reflecting higher commodity prices and demand. 
    • Services exports recorded USD 354.90 billion for April–February 2025, with a full-year estimate of USD 382–383 billion, reflecting a robust 12% growth from USD 341.1 billion in FY 2023-24. 
  • Trade Deficit: Estimated at USD 94 billion for FY 2024-25, lower than USD 238.3 billion in FY 2023-24 due to import moderation and services export growth. 

What is the Sectoral Performance of India’s Trade Basket? 

  • Key Export Sectors: 
    • India's export basket is led by petroleum products. In 2023, India exported USD 55.8 billion of Refined Petroleum, making it the 3rd largest exporter of Refined Petroleum in the world.  
    • Engineering goods, contributing 25%, have seen strong growth, while electronics, particularly smartphones, have grown by 151% since FY 2020. 
    • Spices and agricultural products continue to be significant, with India exporting 225 spice products to over 180 countries.  
  • Key Import Sectors: 
    • India’s import basket is heavily dominated by crude oil and petroleum products, accounting for 32% of imports, reflecting the country’s more than 80% reliance on imported energy.  
    • Gold imports surged significantly in April 2024 due to cultural demand, while electronics and machinery make up 11.7% of imports, essential for the manufacturing sector. 

What are the Key Measures to Address India's Trade Deficit? 

Read more: India's Trade Deficit as an Opportunity 

UPSC Civil Services, Previous Year Question (PYQ)   

Prelims 

Q. With reference to Balance of Payments, which of the following constitutes/constitute the Current Account? (2014) 

  1. Balance of trade  
  2. Foreign assets 
  3. Balance of invisibles 
  4. Special Drawing Rights  

Select the correct answer using the code given below:   

(a) 1 only  

(b) 2 and 3  

(c) 1 and 3  

(d) 1, 2 and 4  

Ans: (c) 

Q. Which of the following constitute Capital Account? (2013) 

  1. Foreign Loans 
  2. Foreign Direct Investment 
  3. Private Remittances 
  4. Portfolio Investment 

Select the correct answer using the codes given below:  

(a) 1, 2 and 3   

(b) 1, 2 and 4  

(c) 2, 3 and 4   

(d) 1, 3 and 4  

Ans: (b)


Mains

Q. Craze for gold in Indians has led to surge in import of gold in recent years and put pressure on balance of payments and external value of rupee. In view of this, examine the merits of Gold Monetization scheme. (2015)

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